After a couple of huge winners, we are ready with the best Champions League betting tip and most accurate Inter v Bayern prediction. On Wednesday night, April 16, at 2100 CET, Inter will take on Bayern in front of a jam packed Meazza. The Nerrazzuri put on a masterclass display in the first leg claiming a famous 1:2 win at the Alianz Arena. It was the first home defeat in the Champions League for Bayern Munich in four years. Some “experts” said that the win was not deserved and that the Germans had more control of the game. I certainly would not agree with that as the Inter played in the exact way that Inzaghi wanted. Few coaches are naive enough to try and outplay Bayern on their own turf. Inter had to be smart, and they did just that. Still, despite their win, the tie is wide open. If there is one thing that history has taught us, it’s to never write off the Germans. With a place in the Champions League semis on the line, it promises to be an epic battle.

Analayzing Inter’s Triumph In Germany

Analyzing the first leg holds the key to an accurate Inter v Bayern prediction and Champions League betting pick. It was a great result for the Italian giants and an absolute tactical masterclass from Simeone Inzaghi.

Bayern dominated the ball with 58% possession, and had twice as many shots. The Germans had 20 shots compared to Inter’s 10, and they also had 7 shots on target, while the Italians had just four. Kompany’s side also completed 585 passes cmpared to their opponents’ 405. The Expected Goals metric was also in their favor – 2.65 against 0.91. Well, it’s the end result that matters as Inter scored two fabulous goals and stole the game with a 1:2 scoreline. Frattesi nicked the winner in the 88th minute, just three minutes after Muller had equalized.

Vincent Kompany made a strange change placing the full back Guerreiro in an attacking midfield position. It was evident that it wasn’t his preferred position. He looked out of sorts and did not contribute much. Muller came late in the second half to replace him and immediately made an impact scoring the equalizer. It looks like Muller will start at the Meazza.

Harry Kane had a huge chance to score in the first half. He was in great position, but his shot hit the crossbar. Then Inter scored one of the most beautiful team goals you will ever see topped up with a spectacular finish from Lautaro Martinez. From that point on, it became very difficult for Bayern. They had the momentum till that goal, but Lautaro’s stunner really disturbed them and knocked off their confidence.

What has become evident is that Kompany’s Bayern Munich gives away goals too easily. This has been the case this entire season. They have conceded 29 goals in the Bundesliga from a total of 30 games. They lost to Bochum at home a couple of weeks ago by 2:3 despite leading 2:1 at the half. This last Saturday, Bayern allowed Borussia to score two second half goals at the Alianz Arena to suffer another disappointment in front of their own fans.

Inter’s quick transitions in the first game put the Germans on their heels and exposed their defensive vulnerabilities. Both of Nerrazzuri’s goals came on the counter with great teamwork.

The Pressure Is On For Both Sides

A lot was said before the first leg about this year’s final being at the Alianz Arena and how much that meant for Bayern. Obviously, it’s a huge incentive for them to reach the last game of the competition. Playing in front of their own fans for the title would give them a huge boost. But that also puts a lot of pressure on them.

As per Inter, they have the advantage now, but nothing has been decided. They will be playing in front of eighty thousand of their fans. They’ve been waiting for a European triumph since 2010. Playing with a lead is also not easy against a wounded Bayern Munich side that’s capable of beating anyone. If the Bavarians score first, the pressure on Inter will be huge. That will play a big factor in this Inter v Bayern prediction for April 16, 2025.

Inzaghi v Kompany

If you we examine the head coaches in this Champions League betting pick and Inter v Bayern prediction, we can see a clear winner. Inzaghi has been in charge of Inter for four years now (since 2021). He has given his team a real identity. Inter know who they are and they can mix it and match it against anyone. They battle, they are physical, they are strong. The Nerrazzuri can attack, they can dominate possession against smaller teams, and they can defend against the top sides in Europe. When they lost the Champions League final two years ago against City, they were the only team to give Guardiola’s side problems. Back then, City were playing teams off the pitch, absolutely dominating everyone. Only Inter were able to contain them and could have equalized had Lukaku been better in front of goal. Experience is another factor working in their favor. This team has won titles, and have been all the way in Europe’s top competition.

In comparison, Kompany does not have much coaching experience. He had the Burnley job in England. Took them to the Premier League, where they could not cope with anyone and got relegated right away. In return, Kompany was shockingly given the Bayern Munich job. It was a strange move by the Bavarians who usually go after big names, proven head coaches like Ancelotti, Guardiola, Tuchel.

Stats And Facts

• The upcoming game will the elevent meeting between Inter and Bayern.
• In their last six Champions League matches, each team has three wins apiece. Surprisingly, only one of those six games ended in a home win – Bayern’s 2:0 win in November 2022.
• The previous clash between those two sides was in in the 2022/23 season, in the group stages of the Champions League. Bayern won both fixtures by 2:0.
• Only Real Madrid have managed to eliminate Bayern on more ocassions – seven times.
• Inter are part of just five clubs who have eliminated the Bavarians more than once (Chelsea, Barcelona, Real Madrid, and AC Milan).
• On 23 ocassions where Inter have taken a lead from the first leg in Europe, Inter have progressed 21 times.
• Inter have not lost at home in 14 straight games in the Champions League (12 wins and 2 draws). No other team in Europe is currently on a longer unbeaten streak in the competition.
• In the first leg, the Nerrazzuri registered 573 high-intensity presses. That was the highest number recoreded in the Champions League this season.
• Lautaro Martinez has scored in four straight CL fixtures. Another goal on Wednesday will make him the first ever Inter player to score in five straight CL matches. He already has seven goals in the tournament.

Inter v Bayern Prediction

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